APEX Runner: Regime Transition Probability Signal

[
  {
    "scheme": "exact",
    "network": "eip155:8453",
    "payTo": "0x8D0663BBb967ebF1c047405A888DDf865f3E8854",
    "asset": "0x833589fCD6eDb6E08f4c7C32D4f71b54bdA02913",
    "amount": "7000",
    "maxTimeoutSeconds": 300
  }
]

{
  "bazaar": {
    "category": "trading-signals",
    "description": "Exotic signal at $15. Mines APEX Runner's 2,988 real grid trades across Kraken, Coinbase, and Hyperliquid to build a regime transition matrix and predict probability of market regime shift within 4 hours. 82.8% historical win rate across 10 evolution runs — not simulated data. Built from real exchange OHLCV candles with actual order flow.",
    "example": {
      "confidence": "MEDIUM",
      "current_regime": "RANGING",
      "data_points": 2988,
      "key_factors": [
        "ADX rising from 22→28",
        "Volume expanding"
      ],
      "most_likely_next": "TRENDING",
      "signal": "PRE_TREND",
      "transition_probabilities": {
        "CHOPPY": 0.08,
        "CRISIS": 0.12,
        "RANGING": 0.45,
        "TRENDING": 0.35
      },
      "transition_probability": 0.55,
      "valid_for_seconds": 3600
    },
    "info": {
      "input": {
        "method": "GET",
        "type": "http"
      },
      "output": {
        "confidence": "string — LOW / MEDIUM / HIGH based on data points available",
        "current_regime": "string — current BTC market regime",
        "data_points": "integer — number of real APEX trade lessons used in matrix",
        "example": {
          "confidence": "MEDIUM",
          "current_regime": "RANGING",
          "most_likely_next": "TRENDING",
          "signal": "PRE_TREND",
          "transition_probabilities": {
            "CHOPPY": 0.08,
            "CRISIS": 0.12,
            "RANGING": 0.45,
            "TRENDING": 0.35
          },
          "transition_probability": 0.55
        },
        "key_factors": "array — top 3 technical factors influencing the prediction",
        "most_likely_next": "string — most probable next regime if transition occurs",
        "signal": "string — PRE_TREND / PRE_CRISIS / STABLE / UNCERTAIN",
        "transition_probabilities": "object — probability for each regime (RANGING/TRENDING/CRISIS/CHOPPY) summing to 1.0",
        "transition_probability": "float — overall probability of ANY regime change (0-1)",
        "type": "json"
      },
      "why_apex": {
        "live_system": "APEX trades real capital 24/7 on Kraken, Coinbase, and Hyperliquid simultaneously",
        "multi_exchange": "Cross-exchange data synthesis unavailable from any single-venue provider",
        "not_backtested": "All signals derived from live order flow — 2,988 real grid trades, 82.8% win rate across Kraken, Coinbase, and Hyperliquid",
        "self_evolving": "AI evolution engine runs nightly, signal logic improves from real outcomes"
      }
    },
    "name": "APEX Regime Transition Probability",
    "outputSchema": {
      "confidence": "string",
      "current_regime": "string",
      "most_likely_next": "string",
      "signal": "string",
      "transition_probabilities": "object",
      "transition_probability": "float"
    },
    "schema": {
      "properties": {
        "input": {
          "properties": {
            "queryParams": {
              "properties": {},
              "type": "object"
            }
          },
          "required": [
            "method"
          ],
          "type": "object"
        },
        "output": {
          "properties": {
            "example": {
              "properties": {
                "_apex": {
                  "properties": {
                    "evolution_runs": {
                      "type": "integer"
                    },
                    "instance": {
                      "type": "string"
                    },
                    "live_capital_deployed": {
                      "type": "boolean"
                    },
                    "live_trading": {
                      "type": "boolean"
                    },
                    "signal": {
                      "type": "string"
                    },
                    "signal_hash": {
                      "type": "string"
                    },
                    "source": {
                      "type": "string"
                    },
                    "trades_backing_signal": {
                      "type": "integer"
                    },
                    "verify_at": {
                      "type": "string"
                    },
                    "version": {
                      "type": "string"
                    }
                  },
                  "type": "object"
                },
                "confidence": {
                  "type": "string"
                },
                "current_regime": {
                  "type": "string"
                },
                "data_points": {
                  "type": "integer"
                },
                "key_factors": {
                  "items": {},
                  "type": "array"
                },
                "most_likely_next": {
                  "type": "string"
                },
                "signal": {
                  "type": "string"
                },
                "timestamp": {
                  "type": "string"
                },
                "transition_probabilities": {
                  "properties": {
                    "CHOPPY": {
                      "type": "number"
                    },
                    "CRISIS": {
                      "type": "number"
                    },
                    "RANGING": {
                      "type": "number"
                    },
                    "TRENDING": {
                      "type": "number"
                    }
                  },
                  "type": "object"
                },
                "transition_probability": {
                  "type": "number"
                },
                "valid_for_seconds": {
                  "type": "integer"
                }
              },
              "type": "object"
            }
          },
          "type": "object"
        }
      },
      "type": "object"
    },
    "version": "1.0.0"
  }
}

curl "https://apexrunner.ai/signals/regime-transition-probability"
# -> 402 Payment Required, accepts[] lists how to pay
# retry with a PAYMENT-SIGNATURE (or PAYMENT header) once paid

const res = await fetch("https://apexrunner.ai/signals/regime-transition-probability");
if (res.status === 402) {
  const { accepts } = await res.json();
  // pay one of accepts[] via an x402 client, then retry with the payment header
}

import httpx
res = httpx.get("https://apexrunner.ai/signals/regime-transition-probability")
if res.status_code == 402:
    accepts = res.json()["accepts"]
    # pay one of accepts[] via an x402 client, then retry with the payment header