All active US politics markets with live probabilities in one call — One-call board of…
All active US politics markets with live probabilities in one call — One-call board of the most active US politics prediction markets: top markets by volume with blended live probabilities, resolution dates, and per-market slugs for drill-down. The bulk read…
by x402-factory.com · discovered, not yet claimed by its owner · updated 2026-10-01
Mirrored from Coinbase's public x402 Bazaar. The description is the provider's own text and has not been reviewed here; the payment requirements are copied as published.
What it does
All active US politics markets with live probabilities in one call — One-call board of the most active US politics prediction markets: top markets by volume with blended live probabilities, resolution dates, and per-market slugs for drill-down. The bulk read for agents tracking the state of US politics at a glance.
Tags: probability · board · politics-us · prediction-market · bazaar
Call contract
- Method
- GET
- Input
- query parameters
- Output
- json
- Last paid call
- 2026-10-01
{
"limit": 10
}{
"data": {
"category": "politics-us",
"markets": [
{
"probability": 0.5049,
"question": "Will the Republican candidate win the 2028 US presidential election?",
"resolution_date": "2028-11-07",
"slug": "republican-wins-presidency-2028",
"volume_24h_usd": 1227140.61
},
{
"probability": 0.5818,
"question": "Will Republicans hold the House in the 2026 midterms?",
"resolution_date": "2026-11-04",
"slug": "republicans-hold-house-midterms-2026-11",
"volume_24h_usd": 426031.65
},
{
"probability": 0.2976,
"question": "Will Democrats win Senate control in the 2026 midterms?",
"resolution_date": "2026-11-04",
"slug": "democrats-win-senate-midterms-2026-11",
"volume_24h_usd": 285766.57
},
{
"probability": 0.4304,
"question": "Will the opposition candidate win Venezuela's December election?",
"resolution_date": "2026-12-06",
"slug": "venezuela-opposition-wins-election-2026-12",
"volume_24h_usd": 222946.41
},
{
"probability": 0.2747,
"question": "Will the US government shut down on October 1?",
"resolution_date": "2026-10-01",
"slug": "us-government-shutdown-2026-10",
"volume_24h_usd": 139147.66
},
{
"probability": 0.6494,
"question": "Will the incumbent win the NYC mayoral election?",
"resolution_date": "2026-11-03",
"slug": "nyc-mayor-incumbent-wins-2026-11",
"volume_24h_usd": 101572.4
},
{
"probability": 0.2573,
"question": "Will there be a US government shutdown at the October 2026 funding deadline?",
"resolution_date": "2026-10-01",
"slug": "government-shutdown-october-2026",
"volume_24h_usd": 94727.5
}
]
},
"meta": {
"data_mode": "live",
"docs": "https://x402-factory.com/docs/probability.board.politics-us",
"endpoint": "/v1/board/politics-us",
"freshness": "realtime",
"generated_at": "2026-09-29T05:40:59.271Z",
"request_id": "req_00000000",
"sources": [
"kalshi",
"polymarket"
],
"version": "1.0.0"
}
}Use with an agent
- Discover. Agents find this listing with
GET https://bazaar.saylorinnovations.com/discovery/search?query=…, the MCP toolsearch_resources, or/discovery/resources. - Inspect. Fetch
/resources/29964.jsonfor the price and payment options. - Pay. Call
GET https://x402-factory.com/v1/board/politics-us. The provider answers402with its payment requirements. An x402 client signs one of the options below and retries withPAYMENT-SIGNATURE. - Execute. The provider returns
200with the data. Agent Bazaar is not in the request path and never sees your payment.
For humans
You don't need an account or an API key; you need a wallet holding a small amount of USDC on Base, and an x402-capable client (see the examples below). Call the endpoint unpaid first to see exactly what it asks for.
Pricing & payment
- Price
- $0.03 / request
- Protocol
- x402 v2
- Auth
- No account or API key. Pay per request.
- Networks
- Base
- Demand
- 1 calls · 1 unique payers in 30d (public x402 Bazaar data)
x402 payment requirements
| Scheme | Network | Asset | Amount | Pay to | Timeout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| exact | Base eip155:8453 | USDC | $0.03 | 0xCc42Ed39a06b6cF3f484307eF76B88Bf56Fb305f | 120s |
accepts[] (raw JSON)
[
{
"scheme": "exact",
"network": "eip155:8453",
"payTo": "0xCc42Ed39a06b6cF3f484307eF76B88Bf56Fb305f",
"asset": "0x833589fCD6eDb6E08f4c7C32D4f71b54bdA02913",
"amount": "30000",
"amountUsd": 0.03,
"maxTimeoutSeconds": 120
}
]Schemas
Output schema (JSON Schema)
{
"properties": {
"example": {
"properties": {
"data": {
"additionalProperties": false,
"properties": {
"category": {
"type": "string"
},
"markets": {
"items": {
"additionalProperties": false,
"properties": {
"probability": {
"maximum": 1,
"minimum": 0,
"type": "number"
},
"question": {
"type": "string"
},
"resolution_date": {
"type": "string"
},
"slug": {
"type": "string"
},
"volume_24h_usd": {
"type": "number"
}
},
"required": [
"slug",
"question",
"probability",
"volume_24h_usd",
"resolution_date"
],
"type": "object"
},
"type": "array"
}
},
"required": [
"category",
"markets"
],
"type": "object"
},
"meta": {
"type": "object"
}
},
"required": [
"data",
"meta"
],
"type": "object"
},
"type": {
"type": "string"
}
},
"required": [
"type"
],
"type": "object"
}Example shape — generated from the schema, not a captured live response
{
"example": {
"data": {
"category": "string",
"markets": [
{
"probability": 0,
"question": "string",
"resolution_date": "string",
"slug": "string",
"volume_24h_usd": 0
}
]
},
"meta": {}
},
"type": "string"
}Examples
curl -X GET 'https://x402-factory.com/v1/board/politics-us'
# -> 402 Payment Required; read PAYMENT-REQUIRED
# retry the identical request with PAYMENT-SIGNATUREconst res = await fetch("https://x402-factory.com/v1/board/politics-us", {
"method": "GET"
});
if (res.status === 402) {
const { accepts } = await res.json();
// pay one of accepts[] via an x402 client, then retry with the payment header
}import httpx
res = httpx.request("GET", "https://x402-factory.com/v1/board/politics-us")
if res.status_code == 402:
accepts = res.json()["accepts"]
# pay one of accepts[] via an x402 client, then retry with the payment headerDetails
- Provider
- x402-factory.com
- Endpoint
- https://x402-factory.com/v1/board/politics-us
- Machine-readable
/resources/29964.json