Bitcoin Up or Down 5-Minute Probability estimates p_up and p_down for rapid near-close…
Bitcoin Up or Down 5-Minute Probability estimates p_up and p_down for rapid near-close windows where the freshest supplied observations matter most. Send 8-240 ordered caller-supplied BTC price observations, the target venue's opening price, and its close tim…
by api.delx.ai · discovered, not yet claimed by its owner · updated 2026-10-08
Mirrored from Coinbase's public x402 Bazaar. The description is the provider's own text and has not been reviewed here; the payment requirements are copied as published.
What it does
Bitcoin Up or Down 5-Minute Probability estimates p_up and p_down for rapid near-close windows where the freshest supplied observations matter most. Send 8-240 ordered caller-supplied BTC price observations, the target venue's opening price, and its close timestamp; optionally include UP/DOWN share prices and entry fees for a descriptive model-edge comparison. Returns a conservative probability pair, lean, input-quality score, model contract, and warnings for $0.003 USDC via x402 on Base or Sol…
Tags: x402 · prediction-markets · crypto · btc · 5m · bazaar · payment-identifier
Call contract
- Method
- POST
- Input
- json
- Output
- json
- Last paid call
- 2026-10-08
{
"fee_bps": 50,
"market_down_price": 0.54,
"market_up_price": 0.48,
"observations": [
{
"price": 100000,
"timestamp": 1799999700
},
{
"price": 100035,
"timestamp": 1799999737
},
{
"price": 100070,
"timestamp": 1799999774
},
{
"price": 100105,
"timestamp": 1799999811
},
{
"price": 100140,
"timestamp": 1799999848
},
{
"price": 100175,
"timestamp": 1799999885
},
{
"price": 100210,
"timestamp": 1799999922
},
{
"price": 100245,
"timestamp": 1799999959
}
],
"window_close_timestamp": 1800000000,
"window_open_price": 100000
}{
"asset": "BTC",
"data_quality": {
"label": "adequate_input_coverage",
"observations_used": 8,
"score": 0.7455
},
"estimate": {
"lean": "up",
"p_down": 0.20045,
"p_up": 0.79955
},
"horizon_minutes": 5,
"input_provenance": "caller_supplied",
"model": {
"deterministic_for_same_input": true,
"no_live_market_data": true,
"probability_is_uncalibrated": true,
"version": "delx-local-updown-v1"
},
"schema": "delx/prediction-updown-estimate/v1",
"status": "estimate",
"warnings": [
"caller_supplied_prices_not_verified",
"probability_is_uncalibrated",
"not_trading_advice"
]
}Use with an agent
- Discover. Agents find this listing with
GET https://bazaar.saylorinnovations.com/discovery/search?query=…, the MCP toolsearch_resources, or/discovery/resources. - Inspect. Fetch
/resources/31173.jsonfor the price and payment options. - Pay. Call
GET https://api.delx.ai/api/v1/x402/bitcoin-up-down-5m. The provider answers402with its payment requirements. An x402 client signs one of the options below and retries withPAYMENT-SIGNATURE. - Execute. The provider returns
200with the data. Agent Bazaar is not in the request path and never sees your payment.
For humans
You don't need an account or an API key; you need a wallet holding a small amount of USDC on Base, Solana, and an x402-capable client (see the examples below). Call the endpoint unpaid first to see exactly what it asks for.
Pricing & payment
- Price
- $0.003 / request
- Protocol
- x402 v2
- Auth
- No account or API key. Pay per request.
- Networks
- Base, Solana
- Demand
- 2 calls · 2 unique payers in 30d (public x402 Bazaar data)
x402 payment requirements
| Scheme | Network | Asset | Amount | Pay to | Timeout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| exact | Base eip155:8453 | USDC | $0.003 | 0x9f8bd9875b3E0b632a24A3A7C73f7787175e73A2 | 300s |
| exact | Base eip155:8453 | USDC | $0.003 | 0x9f8bd9875b3E0b632a24A3A7C73f7787175e73A2 | 300s |
| exact | Solana solana:5eykt4UsFv8P8NJdTREpY1vzqKqZKvdp | USDC | $0.003 | 28heAMpFkeUJsL7o7apiK4oJwZWq2fUHinRwbgYYsemG | 300s |
accepts[] (raw JSON)
[
{
"scheme": "exact",
"network": "eip155:8453",
"payTo": "0x9f8bd9875b3E0b632a24A3A7C73f7787175e73A2",
"asset": "0x833589fCD6eDb6E08f4c7C32D4f71b54bdA02913",
"amount": "3000",
"amountUsd": 0.003,
"maxTimeoutSeconds": 300
},
{
"scheme": "exact",
"network": "eip155:8453",
"payTo": "0x9f8bd9875b3E0b632a24A3A7C73f7787175e73A2",
"asset": "0x833589fCD6eDb6E08f4c7C32D4f71b54bdA02913",
"amount": "3000",
"amountUsd": 0.003,
"maxTimeoutSeconds": 300
},
{
"scheme": "exact",
"network": "solana:5eykt4UsFv8P8NJdTREpY1vzqKqZKvdp",
"payTo": "28heAMpFkeUJsL7o7apiK4oJwZWq2fUHinRwbgYYsemG",
"asset": "EPjFWdd5AufqSSqeM2qN1xzybapC8G4wEGGkZwyTDt1v",
"amount": "3000",
"amountUsd": 0.003,
"maxTimeoutSeconds": 300
}
]Schemas
Output schema (JSON Schema)
{
"additionalProperties": true,
"properties": {
"asset": {
"type": "string"
},
"data_quality": {
"additionalProperties": true,
"properties": {
"label": {
"type": "string"
},
"observations_used": {
"type": "integer"
},
"score": {
"type": "number"
}
},
"type": "object"
},
"estimate": {
"additionalProperties": true,
"properties": {
"lean": {
"type": "string"
},
"p_down": {
"type": "number"
},
"p_up": {
"type": "number"
}
},
"type": "object"
},
"horizon_minutes": {
"type": "integer"
},
"input_provenance": {
"type": "string"
},
"model": {
"additionalProperties": true,
"properties": {
"deterministic_for_same_input": {
"type": "boolean"
},
"no_live_market_data": {
"type": "boolean"
},
"probability_is_uncalibrated": {
"type": "boolean"
},
"version": {
"type": "string"
}
},
"type": "object"
},
"schema": {
"type": "string"
},
"status": {
"type": "string"
},
"warnings": {
"items": {
"type": "string"
},
"type": "array"
}
},
"type": "object"
}Example shape — generated from the schema, not a captured live response
{
"asset": "string",
"data_quality": {
"label": "string",
"observations_used": 0,
"score": 0
},
"estimate": {
"lean": "string",
"p_down": 0,
"p_up": 0
},
"horizon_minutes": 0,
"input_provenance": "string",
"model": {
"deterministic_for_same_input": true,
"no_live_market_data": true,
"probability_is_uncalibrated": true,
"version": "string"
},
"schema": "string",
"status": "string",
"warnings": [
"string"
]
}Examples
curl -X POST 'https://api.delx.ai/api/v1/x402/bitcoin-up-down-5m' -H 'Content-Type: application/json' --data '{"fee_bps":50,"market_down_price":0.54,"market_up_price":0.48,"observations":[{"price":100000,"timestamp":1799999700},{"price":100035,"timestamp":1799999737},{"price":100070,"timestamp":1799999774},{"price":100105,"timestamp":1799999811},{"price":100140,"timestamp":1799999848},{"price":100175,"timestamp":1799999885},{"price":100210,"timestamp":1799999922},{"price":100245,"timestamp":1799999959}],"window_close_timestamp":1800000000,"window_open_price":100000}'
# -> 402 Payment Required; read PAYMENT-REQUIRED
# retry the identical request with PAYMENT-SIGNATUREconst res = await fetch("https://api.delx.ai/api/v1/x402/bitcoin-up-down-5m", {
"method": "POST",
"headers": {
"content-type": "application/json"
},
"body": "{\"fee_bps\":50,\"market_down_price\":0.54,\"market_up_price\":0.48,\"observations\":[{\"price\":100000,\"timestamp\":1799999700},{\"price\":100035,\"timestamp\":1799999737},{\"price\":100070,\"timestamp\":1799999774},{\"price\":100105,\"timestamp\":1799999811},{\"price\":100140,\"timestamp\":1799999848},{\"price\":100175,\"timestamp\":1799999885},{\"price\":100210,\"timestamp\":1799999922},{\"price\":100245,\"timestamp\":1799999959}],\"window_close_timestamp\":1800000000,\"window_open_price\":100000}"
});
if (res.status === 402) {
const { accepts } = await res.json();
// pay one of accepts[] via an x402 client, then retry with the payment header
}import httpx
import json
res = httpx.request("POST", "https://api.delx.ai/api/v1/x402/bitcoin-up-down-5m", json=json.loads("{\"fee_bps\":50,\"market_down_price\":0.54,\"market_up_price\":0.48,\"observations\":[{\"price\":100000,\"timestamp\":1799999700},{\"price\":100035,\"timestamp\":1799999737},{\"price\":100070,\"timestamp\":1799999774},{\"price\":100105,\"timestamp\":1799999811},{\"price\":100140,\"timestamp\":1799999848},{\"price\":100175,\"timestamp\":1799999885},{\"price\":100210,\"timestamp\":1799999922},{\"price\":100245,\"timestamp\":1799999959}],\"window_close_timestamp\":1800000000,\"window_open_price\":100000}"))
if res.status_code == 402:
accepts = res.json()["accepts"]
# pay one of accepts[] via an x402 client, then retry with the payment headerDetails
- Provider
- api.delx.ai
- Endpoint
- https://api.delx.ai/api/v1/x402/bitcoin-up-down-5m
- Machine-readable
/resources/31173.json