Kalshi consensus-probability trajectory
Kalshi consensus-probability trajectory. POST {event}. Wraps Kalshi's unique /events/{ticker}/forecast_history (no other PM exposes formatted forecast percentile history). Returns slope-per-hour over 24h and 3d, acceleration signal (regime change indicator), volatility band, days to resolve, and a stable/accelerating-up/accelerating-down interpretation.
50000 (raw units)
price
1
calls / 30d
1
unique payers
2026-09-12
updated
Provider
graphadvocate.com · discovered, not yet claimed by its owner
Payment (x402 accepts[])
[
{
"scheme": "exact",
"network": "eip155:8453",
"payTo": "0x0FF5A6ecef783BBA35463ec2F8403B9B5e9e7C86",
"asset": "0x833589fCD6eDb6E08f4c7C32D4f71b54bdA02913",
"amount": "50000",
"maxTimeoutSeconds": 300
}
]Output schema
{
"bazaar": {
"info": {
"input": {
"body": {
"event": "KXELONMARS-99"
},
"bodyType": "json",
"method": "POST",
"type": "http"
},
"output": {
"example": {
"acceleration_signal": -0.0003,
"consensus_probability_now": 0.18,
"days_to_resolve": 3287.4,
"event_title": "Will Elon Musk visit Mars in his lifetime?",
"interpretation": "accelerating-down",
"kalshi_event_ticker": "KXELONMARS-99",
"slope_per_hour_24h": -0.0004,
"slope_per_hour_3d": -0.0001,
"volatility_24h_stdev": 0.012
},
"type": "json"
}
},
"schema": {
"$schema": "https://json-schema.org/draft/2020-12/schema",
"properties": {
"input": {
"additionalProperties": false,
"properties": {
"body": {
"properties": {
"event": {
"description": "Kalshi event ticker (e.g. KXFOO-23)",
"type": "string"
}
},
"required": [
"event"
],
"type": "object"
},
"bodyType": {
"enum": [
"json",
"form-data",
"text"
],
"type": "string"
},
"method": {
"enum": [
"POST",
"PUT",
"PATCH"
],
"type": "string"
},
"type": {
"const": "http",
"type": "string"
}
},
"required": [
"type",
"method",
"bodyType",
"body"
],
"type": "object"
},
"output": {
"properties": {
"example": {
"type": "object"
},
"type": {
"type": "string"
}
},
"required": [
"type"
],
"type": "object"
}
},
"required": [
"input"
],
"type": "object"
}
}
}Use it
curl
curl "https://graphadvocate.com/kalshi/consensus-trend" # -> 402 Payment Required, accepts[] lists how to pay # retry with a PAYMENT-SIGNATURE (or PAYMENT header) once paid
JavaScript
const res = await fetch("https://graphadvocate.com/kalshi/consensus-trend");
if (res.status === 402) {
const { accepts } = await res.json();
// pay one of accepts[] via an x402 client, then retry with the payment header
}Python
import httpx
res = httpx.get("https://graphadvocate.com/kalshi/consensus-trend")
if res.status_code == 402:
accepts = res.json()["accepts"]
# pay one of accepts[] via an x402 client, then retry with the payment headerMachine-readable
Everything on this page is also available as clean JSON at /resources/5016.json, and this resource appears in /discovery/resources and /discovery/search.