Multi-indicator recession probability for any country — PMI, yield curve, credit spreads,
Multi-indicator recession probability for any country — PMI, yield curve, credit spreads, GDP trajectory and IMF forecasts. For macro and cross-asset agents.
150000 (raw units)
price
1
calls / 30d
1
unique payers
2026-08-20
updated
Provider
econsignalpulse.theaslangroupllc.com · discovered, not yet claimed by its owner
Payment (x402 accepts[])
[
{
"scheme": "exact",
"network": "eip155:8453",
"payTo": "0x50ab2018c06c6E4eAA9BA52057Eb55eD284912fc",
"asset": "0x833589fCD6eDb6E08f4c7C32D4f71b54bdA02913",
"amount": "150000",
"maxTimeoutSeconds": 300
},
{
"scheme": "exact",
"network": "eip155:8453",
"payTo": "0x50ab2018c06c6E4eAA9BA52057Eb55eD284912fc",
"asset": "0x833589fCD6eDb6E08f4c7C32D4f71b54bdA02913",
"amount": "150000",
"maxTimeoutSeconds": 604900
},
{
"scheme": "exact",
"network": "solana:5eykt4UsFv8P8NJdTREpY1vzqKqZKvdp",
"payTo": "985iFjbnGQ3dJcwXnfRCMSrH4Jnc3kW1N6msR64B5KX1",
"asset": "EPjFWdd5AufqSSqeM2qN1xzybapC8G4wEGGkZwyTDt1v",
"amount": "150000",
"maxTimeoutSeconds": 300
},
{
"scheme": "exact",
"network": "eip155:4663",
"payTo": "0x50ab2018c06c6E4eAA9BA52057Eb55eD284912fc",
"asset": "0x5fc5360D0400a0Fd4f2af552ADD042D716F1d168",
"amount": "150000",
"maxTimeoutSeconds": 300
},
{
"scheme": "exact",
"network": "eip155:137",
"payTo": "0x50ab2018c06c6E4eAA9BA52057Eb55eD284912fc",
"asset": "0x3c499c542cEF5E3811e1192ce70d8cC03d5c3359",
"amount": "150000",
"maxTimeoutSeconds": 300
},
{
"scheme": "exact",
"network": "eip155:42161",
"payTo": "0x50ab2018c06c6E4eAA9BA52057Eb55eD284912fc",
"asset": "0xaf88d065e77c8cC2239327C5EDb3A432268e5831",
"amount": "150000",
"maxTimeoutSeconds": 300
},
{
"scheme": "exact",
"network": "eip155:480",
"payTo": "0x50ab2018c06c6E4eAA9BA52057Eb55eD284912fc",
"asset": "0x79A02482A880bCe3F13E09da970dC34dB4cD24D1",
"amount": "150000",
"maxTimeoutSeconds": 300
},
{
"scheme": "exact",
"network": "eip155:143",
"payTo": "0x50ab2018c06c6E4eAA9BA52057Eb55eD284912fc",
"asset": "0x754704Bc059F8C67012fEd69BC8A327a5aafb603",
"amount": "150000",
"maxTimeoutSeconds": 300
},
{
"scheme": "exact",
"network": "eip155:196",
"payTo": "0x50ab2018c06c6E4eAA9BA52057Eb55eD284912fc",
"asset": "0x779ded0c9e1022225f8e0630b35a9b54be713736",
"amount": "150000",
"maxTimeoutSeconds": 300
},
{
"scheme": "exact",
"network": "eip155:999",
"payTo": "0x50ab2018c06c6E4eAA9BA52057Eb55eD284912fc",
"asset": "0xb88339CB7199b77E23DB6E890353E22632Ba630f",
"amount": "150000",
"maxTimeoutSeconds": 300
},
{
"scheme": "exact",
"network": "algorand:wGHE2Pwdvd7S12BL5FaOP20EGYesN73k",
"payTo": "62A253YPATFNJCPRKID3FKD77MYJFNTVRYRP4B4JWG36EGLPY7UXFWGI7I",
"asset": "31566704",
"amount": "150000",
"maxTimeoutSeconds": 300
},
{
"scheme": "exact",
"network": "xrpl:0",
"payTo": "rMnHeutYALco8RYFVcmuU4BCgSzBpPEh32",
"asset": "XRP",
"amount": "150000",
"maxTimeoutSeconds": 300
},
{
"scheme": "exact",
"network": "xrpl:0",
"payTo": "rMnHeutYALco8RYFVcmuU4BCgSzBpPEh32",
"asset": "524C555344000000000000000000000000000000",
"amount": "0.15",
"maxTimeoutSeconds": 300
},
{
"scheme": "exact",
"network": "eip155:56",
"payTo": "0x50ab2018c06c6E4eAA9BA52057Eb55eD284912fc",
"asset": "0x8d0D000Ee44948FC98c9B98A4FA4921476f08B0d",
"amount": "150000000000000000",
"maxTimeoutSeconds": 300
}
]Output schema
{
"bazaar": {
"info": {
"input": {
"method": "GET",
"queryParams": {
"lang": "en"
},
"type": "http"
},
"output": {
"example": {
"historical_analog": "2002-2003 (tech bust + structural reform period) — 3 quarters of contraction followed by slow recovery",
"indicator_dashboard": {
"consumer_confidence_gfk": -21.3,
"gdp_trend": "Two consecutive quarters of negative growth in 2023; shallow recovery 2024",
"ifo_business_climate": 86.5,
"pmi_manufacturing": 43.2,
"pmi_services": 51.1,
"unemployment_trend": "Rising — 5.7% vs 5.0% trough; Kurzarbeit uptake increasing",
"yield_curve": "Inverted — 10yr/2yr spread -45bps; historically 70% accurate 12-month signal"
},
"monitoring_triggers": [
"PMI manufacturing sustained below 45 for 3+ months",
"Unemployment above 6%",
"DAX -15% from peak",
"Energy prices spiking above €100/MWh"
],
"query_summary": {
"country": "Germany",
"horizon": "12 months",
"iso2": "DE",
"iso3": "DEU"
},
"recession_probability": {
"confidence": "Medium-High",
"label": "Elevated risk",
"pct": 62
},
"structural_context": {
"automotive_disruption": "EV transition eroding German auto sector advantage; China competition intensifying",
"china_exposure": "7.3% of German exports to China — slowing Chinese economy is direct headwind",
"energy_shock_legacy": "German industry permanently lost ~15% cost competitiveness post-2022 energy crisis",
"fiscal_position": "Debt brake limits stimulus capacity; constitutional constraint on deficit spending"
}
},
"type": "json"
}
},
"schema": {
"$schema": "https://json-schema.org/draft/2020-12/schema",
"properties": {
"input": {
"additionalProperties": false,
"properties": {
"method": {
"enum": [
"GET",
"HEAD",
"DELETE"
],
"type": "string"
},
"queryParams": {
"properties": {
"country": {
"description": "Country — e.g. \"United States\" | \"Germany\" | \"Japan\" | \"South Korea\" | \"Brazil\"",
"type": "string"
},
"iso2": {
"description": "ISO2 code for World Bank",
"type": "string"
},
"iso3": {
"description": "ISO3 code for IMF",
"type": "string"
},
"lang": {
"description": "en | es | fr | de | ja | zh | ko | pt | ar | hi (default: en)",
"type": "string"
}
},
"type": "object"
},
"type": {
"const": "http",
"type": "string"
}
},
"required": [
"type",
"method"
],
"type": "object"
},
"output": {
"properties": {
"example": {
"type": "object"
},
"type": {
"type": "string"
}
},
"required": [
"type"
],
"type": "object"
}
},
"required": [
"input"
],
"type": "object"
}
},
"builder-code": {
"info": {
"a": "bc_gxy6qn5p"
},
"schema": {
"$schema": "https://json-schema.org/draft/2020-12/schema",
"additionalProperties": false,
"properties": {
"a": {
"description": "App builder code",
"pattern": "^[a-z0-9_]{1,32}$",
"type": "string"
},
"s": {
"description": "Service builder codes",
"items": {
"pattern": "^[a-z0-9_]{1,32}$",
"type": "string"
},
"type": "array"
},
"w": {
"description": "Wallet builder code",
"pattern": "^[a-z0-9_]{1,32}$",
"type": "string"
}
},
"type": "object"
}
}
}Use it
curl
curl "https://econsignalpulse.theaslangroupllc.com/api/econsignal/recession-signals" # -> 402 Payment Required, accepts[] lists how to pay # retry with a PAYMENT-SIGNATURE (or PAYMENT header) once paid
JavaScript
const res = await fetch("https://econsignalpulse.theaslangroupllc.com/api/econsignal/recession-signals");
if (res.status === 402) {
const { accepts } = await res.json();
// pay one of accepts[] via an x402 client, then retry with the payment header
}Python
import httpx
res = httpx.get("https://econsignalpulse.theaslangroupllc.com/api/econsignal/recession-signals")
if res.status_code == 402:
accepts = res.json()["accepts"]
# pay one of accepts[] via an x402 client, then retry with the payment headerMachine-readable
Everything on this page is also available as clean JSON at /resources/5813.json, and this resource appears in /discovery/resources and /discovery/search.